Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.065182 0.076242 0.088566 0.103313 0.120477 0.139822 0.163284
2025-09-14 0.047654 0.061959 0.079607 0.102963 0.133053 0.170514 0.220713
2025-09-21 0.036649 0.051701 0.071783 0.100500 0.140491 0.194208 0.271889
2025-09-28 0.029154 0.043996 0.065119 0.097313 0.145108 0.213439 0.318614
2025-10-05 0.025207 0.040315 0.063046 0.099644 0.157045 0.243610 0.384163
2025-10-12 0.021831 0.036780 0.060418 0.100389 0.166227 0.270351 0.447645
2025-10-19 0.019073 0.033697 0.057895 0.100682 0.174376 0.296072 0.512430
2025-10-26 0.017056 0.031488 0.056388 0.102271 0.184612 0.326107 0.587857
2025-11-02 0.015621 0.030045 0.055922 0.105473 0.197862 0.362599 0.678791
2025-11-09 0.013485 0.026974 0.052096 0.102001 0.198510 0.376772 0.731167
2025-11-16 0.012079 0.025073 0.050141 0.101693 0.204873 0.401881 0.806698
2025-11-23 0.010786 0.023197 0.047959 0.100595 0.209459 0.423997 0.878934
2025-11-30 0.009967 0.022200 0.047430 0.102837 0.221195 0.461809 0.988085
2025-12-07 0.008941 0.020610 0.045477 0.101863 0.226190 0.486760 1.074224
2025-12-14 0.007915 0.018867 0.042957 0.099303 0.227419 0.503975 1.146060
2025-12-21 0.006979 0.017184 0.040331 0.096129 0.226829 0.517136 1.210550
2025-12-28 0.006541 0.016609 0.040118 0.098427 0.238906 0.559462 1.345928
2026-01-04 0.006045 0.015818 0.039294 0.099162 0.247406 0.594685 1.469230
2026-01-11 0.005575 0.015019 0.038342 0.099452 0.254857 0.628317 1.592918
2026-01-18 0.005221 0.014470 0.037929 0.101022 0.265653 0.671146 1.744384
2026-01-25 0.004978 0.014179 0.038128 0.104185 0.280885 0.726559 1.934249
2026-02-01 0.004447 0.013023 0.035932 0.100754 0.278549 0.737843 2.012321
2026-02-08 0.004109 0.012355 0.034946 0.100451 0.284492 0.770963 2.151923